Two mass protest movements have, in quick succession, forced regime changes in Sudan and Ethiopia, two of the Horn of Africa’s quintessential “hard” states. A deep-seated disillusion with the security and developmental states drives the new “revolutionary” mood. What is less clear is where all the ferment and the popular demand for a new dispensation will lead. Continue reading A Spring in The Horn: Mass Protest and Transition in Sudan and Ethiopia→
The simmering crisis in Ethiopia has reached a boiling point. It is extremely serious and every person who has watched Ethiopia closely knows that. It is not simply about repression and extrajudicial killings, stifling of freedom of expression, but most of all it is about ethnic politics; a minority government, representing in theory 6% of the population, that is in complete control of the state machinery including the economic political and state apparatus. Continue reading Ethiopia and the United States: Can the Crisis be Prevented?→
Ethiopia has long been a thorn in the side of Somalia, a troublesome neighbour, and an obstacle to regional peace. In an ideal world, the two countries would be brotherly nations but in reality the opposite is the case. The energy and resources spent by these erstwhile adversaries in undermining each other — could have made both nations prosperous. Continue reading Ethiopia Must Let Somalia Determine its Own Fate→
Lt. General Tsadkan Gebre Tensay, former Chief of Staff of the Ethiopian Armed Forces has written a bold article in Amharic calling for the regime to undertake fundamental political changes to spare the country from implosion and turmoil.
There is no question today that Ethiopia under the Tigray People’s Liberation Front/Ethiopian People’s Revolutionary Democratic Front-TPLF/EPRDF regime has come to a cross roads, in fact a dead end. Either a change of course towards a genuine constitutional democracy or a nightmarish scenario of the implosion of Ethiopia are the alternatives, as Lt. General Tsadkan Gebre Tensay asserts. Continue reading Highlights of Lt. Gen. Tsadkan’s Watershed Article on Ethiopia Political Crisis→
Clashes between different ethnic groups in west Ethiopia left 14 dead this weekend, while UN and MSF offices were targeted by angry protesters. Tensions have been rising these past months in Gambella, the region which has a population of 300,000 but has taken in 270,000 mainly Nuer refugees fleeing the conflict in neighbouring South Sudan.