Ethiopia Ranked 4th Most Fragile State

Ethiopia fragile state
Hallmarks of Instability. Ethiopia ranked 4th among world’s most fragile states given the increasingly autocratic and repressive leadership and acute poverty as main factors, according to Washington based American Enterprise Institute. Ethnic minority rule is also one of the strongest predictors of state failure.

By ESAT News,

Ethiopia is ranked the 4th unstable country next to The Maldives, Mauritania and Algeria, ranking first to third in that order, Newsweek said on Thursday.

Michael Rubin said in an opinion, which is also published on the American Enterprise Institute, a Washington DC based think tank, that repressive regime and poverty are only two of the factors making the regime fragile.



“Two and a half times the size of California, Ethiopia is one of the world’s oldest countries but, despite an increasingly autocratic and repressive leadership projecting an aura of stability, it looks like it could be among the world’s most fragile states. While the economy has grown rapidly, poverty remains the rule as the population also booms,” Rubin writes.

Drought and Tigrayan domination were also cited as factors of instability in the country.

“The agricultural basis of the economy makes Ethiopia susceptible to drought. State-dominated industries mean it competes poorly with the outside world. The country is incredibly diverse. In 1991, Eritrea successfully seceded after a decades-long civil war. While Eritrea had its own colonial heritage, many other ethnic groups are as resentful of Addis Ababa’s control and, specifically, ethnic Tigrean domination,” Robin continues to write.

The writer was also concerned about possible eruption of sectarian violence.

“Of greater concern, however, is Ethiopia’s sectarian division. Muslims already represent a third of the population and are growing at a faster rate than the Ethiopian Christian population. Should ethnic and sectarian divisions erupt into open conflict, the resulting insecurity could make Somalia look like Club Med.”

The article put Ethiopia as one of ten countries that have the potential to explode into crises and which should certainly be on the next US administration’s radar screen.


4. Ethiopia.

Two and a half times the size of California, Ethiopia is one of the world’s oldest countries but, despite an increasingly autocratic and repressive leadership projecting an aura of stability, it looks like it could be among the world’s most fragile states.

While the economy has grown rapidly, poverty remains the rule as the population also booms.

The agricultural basis of the economy makes Ethiopia susceptible to drought. State-dominated industries mean it competes poorly with the outside world. The country is incredibly diverse.

In 1991, Eritrea successfully seceded after a decades-long civil war. While Eritrea had its own colonial heritage, many other ethnic groups are as resentful of Addis Ababa’s control and, specifically, ethnic Tigrean domination.

Of greater concern, however, is Ethiopia’s sectarian division. Muslims already represent a third of the population and are growing at a faster rate than the Ethiopian Christian population. Should ethnic and sectarian divisions erupt into open conflict, the resulting insecurity could make Somalia look like Club Med.

15 thoughts on “Ethiopia Ranked 4th Most Fragile State

  1. This is indeed interesting, especially coming from the American Enterprise Institute, a place full of paid Woyane lobbyist. 5 years ago, I had a chance to chitchat with several senior analyses of the institute I met at a conference and they were spewing (left and right) Woyane talking points. A few days later I was surprised to see their talking points were similar to what the Clinton Foundation compiled. To this day I don’t know who put together those talking points … but those guys were telling me how Ethiopia is set to become THE COUNTRY IN AFRICA – democratic, wealthy etc. This was barely 5 years ago and now they’re telling us Ethiopia is a failed state! Oh well, I know the woyanes are strapped for cash but they shouldn’t have stopped paying these guys. Obviously these’re guys brutal.

    1. TPLF is millions times better then Al shabab cuz al shabab will come to your house and check your dick, al shabab are bunch homos.

      1. Ethiopia was tricked into invading Somalia and stabilisin it by the USA and now that Ethiopia did the dirty work for us Americans our government under Obama dont need Ethiopia any longer so we arr destroying it in an Oranhe revolution or Arab spring- an Ethiopian version

        Too bad Ethiopia didnt learn from Saddam and kadaffis deaths. They too were used and dumped by my dear old American government. Its our way. Ethiopia will be destroyed and Somalia built. Just like we betrayed the Sunnis in Iraq wnd Syria and sided with the shia. We are United Snakes of America.

    1. Western media is definitely biased, they are now telling half truth only because Woyane Ruled Ethiopia has affected western embassies life style by the recent decree of 25km Red Zone — Basically Ethiopia has become an Island of Red Zone.

  2. Wow, leave it to ESAT to take a damn written article and paint a picture of Ethiopia is going to hell. The article clearly takes into an account, crises that can blindside the white house in the next four years. In that list we have Saudi, China, Russia, Turkey and Nigera. We can all agree anything can happen in this crazy world but assumption is not facts but fear. We can also assume, US electing Trump, building a stupid wall, starting a trade war, Trump calling one of the world leaders a bitch or touching private parts of the German cancellor but what are the chances of that happeneing? Almost zero, the same goes for the Axumawites going bust in the near future but keep dreaming shabo’s.

    1. Shut up. Axum belongs to us much more than you can dream of. The “axumawian” you’re talking about, would be ashamed to know their area is being inhabited by the likes of you. Always remember who you’re talking to. Your masters: the Eritreans.

    2. Saba Solomon(Husby) · Edit

      UGUM We love ESAT….Amara……Afar Ethiopia………Our Brothers Oromo,,,,,,,,Somalia go and hang you in Mekele.

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